December 5, 2025
Global Takeaways
Disinflation is progressing but uneven across regions
- Inflation is easing in the U.S., Europe, and Canada.
- The pace differs by region, meaning central banks are not aligned on when rate cuts will begin.
The world economy is operating at two speeds
- Services sectors continue to expand while manufacturing remains weak.
- Growth momentum is uneven, requiring sector-specific investment strategies.
Central banks are approaching, but have not yet reached, a rate-cut pivot
- Markets expect easing in 2025, but timing varies: the Fed may cut earlier, the ECB faces sticky services inflation, and the BoC remains on pause.
- This policy divergence creates both opportunities and risks across currencies, fixed income, and equities.
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Warren Gerow is an independent investment wealth consultant at Sightline Wealth Management.
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